Dengue/DHF

Trend of Dengue case and CFR  in SEAR Countries

 

India

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India : dengue trend from 1991 to 2006Dengue fever has been reported from India over a long time, but dengue haemorrhagic fever was first reported in 1963 from Calcutta city. Since then several outbreaks of dengue fever was reported from India with a major epidemic of dengue haemorrhagic fever that occurred in Delhi  in  1996 when 10 252 cases and 423 deaths were reported. Cases have been reported from the neighbouring states of Haryana, Punjab, Rajasthan, Utter Pradesh and two southern and western states. DEN-2 was isolated during this epidemic and the proportion of DHF to DF was very high. The number of DF/DHF cases and deaths reported since the epidemic has  been low till 2002 but again  has risen in 2003. In 2005, both the reported dengue cases and deaths show three fold increase as compared to 2004. The case fatality has been above 1% for the last 10 years.  However, the number of reported dengue cases and deaths   are mainly from the capital city Delhi and the other states that have small outbreaks go unreported. There for e the case surveillance needs further strengthening . There is need to step up case surveillance system.

Aedes aegypti was reported from all the affected areas with house indices exceeding 20%. Surveillance activities are carried out on a limited scale by the National Institute of Virology, Pune and few other institutions in the country.  Since 1996, dengue control activities are coordinated and carried out by the National Anti-Malaria Programme.

In 2006 the number of cases reported  as compared to 2005 shows some reduction whereas the Case fatality rate has remained above 1%.

During 2007(upto 19 June), 383 cases and 6 deaths have been reported from Kerala (188 cases); Gujarat (93); Maharastra(15); Tamil Nadu(41); Karnataka(27); Haryana(5); Delhi (4); Rajasthan (4), Orissa (4), Chandigarh (1) and Uttar Pradesh (1). Upto 31 may 2007 The cetral Cross Checking organization field Unit of NVBDCP has checked 5083 houses , 6236v containers. The indices as compared to the month of May 2006 were found higher.

The  trend data from India shows that cases generally start to increase from august onwards, which is post monsoon season. More importantly, it is clear from data that breeding of Aedes mosquitoes however begins in June itself.  Such data may be taken into consideration , while planning in advance for dengue prevention and control. Thus vector surveillance and control measures supported by community mobilization for behavioural change activites need to be taken before June and sustained throughout the rainy season.

 

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