World Health Day 2008

Fact Sheets

What is climate change?

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WHD 2008 SEARO Fact Sheet No 1: What is climate change?

The term “climate change” generally refers to changes in our climate that have been identified since the beginning of the mid nineteenth century. 

Our planet’s climate is always changing. In the past it has altered due to natural causes but at present the changes have accelerated as a result of human behaviour rather than natural forces.  Indeed, the natural “greenhouse effect” – by which the Earth’s atmosphere traps energy from the sun warming our planet to support life – is being heavily disturbed.

The greenhouse effect is the phenomenon by which the Earth’s atmosphere acts like the glass roof of a greenhouse, allowing the heat of the sun to enter, and then preventing it from escaping, in effect capturing it. Greenhouse gases, or “GHGs”, such as carbon dioxide and methane present in the atmosphere have the ability to trap the infrared rays reflected by the Earth. The greater the quantity of GHGs, the more the atmosphere will heat up.

This phenomenon is essential for life on Earth to exist, keeping Earth’s average temperature around 14 degrees Celsius.

(Source:http://www.global-greenhouse-warming.com/effect-green-house.html )

In 2007 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and Al Gore Jr. were awarded the Nobel Peace Prize for “their efforts to build up and disseminate greater knowledge about man-made climate change and to lay the foundations for the measures that are needed to counteract such change".  

The IPCC Fourth Assessment Report launched in 2007, is the result of 3 years of collaborative work by three Working Groups consisting of 3 600 scientific experts and reviewers. Over 4 500 scientific articles were consulted and 300 comments from governments were taken into account.

The AR4 report confirmed that global climate change is happening because the Earth’s atmosphere is being loaded with man-made greenhouse gases. Carbon dioxide is emitted by burning fossil fuels for power and by deforestation, while methane is released from paddy fields, animal husbandry and landfills.

The IPCC unequivocally states that: “Most of the observed increase in globally-averaged temperatures since the mid-19th century is very likely due to the observed increase in anthropogenic greenhouse gas concentrations”.

The carbon dioxide level in the atmosphere reached 385 ppm in 2006[1], unprecedented in the past 650 000 years of climate record.

 

Eleven of the last twelve years (1995-2006) rank among the warmest years in the instrumental record of global surface temperature.Because of the amount of accumulated greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, over the next two to three decades global warming will increase almost independent of global greenhouse gas emissions scenario.

The IPCC projects that in 2100, the global temperature will have increased by 1.8-4.0 degrees Celsius.

 

The warming of sea water leads to sea level rise. Sea levels have risen faster in the last decade than in the previous 30 years. The total rise in sea level during the twentieth century is estimated to be 0.17 m.

Global mean sea level is projected to rise by 9.88 cm by the year 2100, but much larger increases cannot be ruled out.

For Bangladesh, for example, the current sea level rise projections would mean that in 150 years from now, sea level would have risen b 1.5 m and 22% of the land would be submerged, affecting 17 million people.

 

 

 



[1]Mauna Loa Observatory (MLO) http://www.mlo.noaa.gov/lowhome.htm

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